近日,我院邹宝玲副教授及其硕士研究生陈宇丹,以及美国亚利桑那州立大学Ashok K. Mishra教授、德国霍恩海姆大学Stefan Hirsch教授合作论文“Agricultural mechanization and the performance of the local Chinese economy”在期刊Food Policy在线发表。Food Policy是食品政策领域的顶级学术期刊,同时位于经济学大类、农业经济与政策领域、营养和膳食领域以及食品科学与技术领域Q1区(亦是中科院期刊分区一区),最新影响因子6.5。
全文引用:
Baoling Zou, Yudan Chen, Ashok K. Mishra, Stefan Hirsch. (2024). Agricultural mechanization and the performance of the local Chinese economy. Food Policy, 125, 102648. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2024.102648
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中文摘要:
本研究基于2010年至2020年数据分析了中国农业机械化对县域经济的影响。基于面板数据和工具变量法的研究结果表明,农业机械化导致我国县域地区生产总值下降。特别是,农业机械化改变了该部门的生产,降低了其产值。农业机械化减少了对劳动力的需求,使得中国年轻人倾向于在非农业部门寻找工作。这也导致当地农业劳动力供给和家庭消费下降,对当地工业和服务业的发展造成不利影响。农业机械化也导致经济作物越来越多地被粮食作物取代,从而降低了农业总产量。最后,本文就农业生产和农村发展提出了一些政策建议。
英文摘要:
In this study, we analyze the impact of agricultural mechanization on the local Chinese economy from 2010 to 2020. Findings based on panel data and instrumental variable methods show that agricultural mechanization led to a significant decline in the local gross domestic product. In particular, agricultural mechanization changes the sector’s production and lowers its output value. Agricultural mechanization has reduced the need for labor to such an extent that young Chinese tend to seek jobs in the non-farming sector, leading to a fall in the local agricultural labor supply and household consumption, adversely affecting the development of local industries and service sectors. Mechanization has also led to cash crops being increasingly replaced by grain crops, reducing the total agricultural output. Finally, this paper presents some policy suggestions for agricultural production and rural development.
文章链接:
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306919224000599?via%3Dihub